Running · Physiology

Marathon Sweet Spot
Calculator

Computes your physiological sweet spot and achievable finish time based on VO₂max, lactate threshold, running economy, and training load.

Physiology
Age years
Sex
VO₂max ml/kg/min — estimate ok
48
30 · beginner 55 · trained 85 · elite
Training Profile
Weekly mileage km/week avg
Longest recent run km
Experience level
Personal Benchmarks
Recent 5K time mm:ss — leave 0 if unknown
Recent Half Marathon time hh:mm — leave 0 if unknown
Body & Conditions
Body weight kg
Race conditions
Injury/fatigue status
Nutrition Setup
Gel brand / type sets carbs per gel
Carbs per gel g — edit if custom
Stomach sensitivity
Caffeine gels mix in from km 25+
Analysis Output
● Sweet Spot Time
—
Optimal load — minimal damage, max adaptation
◆ Achievable Target
—
Realistic race finish with current fitness
▲ Overdoing It / Injury Risk
—
Pushing this pace risks overload, injury & long recovery
Per-Kilometre Paces
Sweet Spot Pace
—
min/km
Target Pace
—
min/km
Injury Risk Pace
—
min/km
Physiological Load Indicators
MetricValueAssessment
Est. Lactate Threshold Pace — —
% VO₂max at Sweet Spot — —
Estimated Glycogen Depletion Risk — —
Cardiac Drift Risk — —
Expected Recovery Time — —
Muscle Damage Marker Elevation — —
Overall Load at Sweet Spot —
Recovery
Aerobic
Threshold
Hard
Maximal
Race Nutrition Plan
Race Nutrition Plan
Race Day Timeline
Hydration & Electrolytes
Pre-Race & Post-Race Protocol
© 2026 Andreas Katzer. Marathon Sweet Spot Calculator. Model based on Joyner (1991), Riegel fatigue factor, Billat cardiac drift, Bernat-Adell et al. (2021). Estimates are probabilistic — not a substitute for coaching or medical advice.